Pi Network’s release of Testnet 2 on October 8, 2024, has sparked renewed speculation about the platform’s much-anticipated Mainnet launch. The update introduces the ability for a select group of node operators to switch between Testnet and Mainnet seamlessly, generating optimism that the transition to the open network will be more streamlined. Additionally, the network has significantly reduced its transaction fees to a minimal 0.0000099 Pi, further exciting users and boosting confidence in the platform’s development.
As KYC (Know Your Customer) verification deadlines approach in December 2024, the Pi Network community is hopeful that these developments mark real progress toward the Mainnet launch and the broader goals of the project. This update, alongside the upcoming verification process, has fueled speculation that Pi might finally be closer to its long-awaited full release.
However, not all observers share the same enthusiasm. Independent analyst Toghrul Aliyev (known as u/doctorbirdbee on social media) expressed lingering skepticism about Pi Network’s future. Aliyev pointed out concerns regarding the inflated user numbers and the repeated delays in meeting development milestones. These doubts, coupled with accusations of mismanagement and unclear timelines, continue to cast a shadow over the project’s trajectory.
While Pi Network’s recent steps signal progress, the community and investors remain divided, with some eagerly anticipating the Mainnet launch and others questioning the long-term viability of the platform. As the December deadline approaches, all eyes will be on whether Pi Network can deliver on its promises and transition smoothly to its full Mainnet launch.
Negative Cues and Scam Allegations Surrounding Pi Network
discrepancy in user numbers. While Pi Network claims to have over 60 million users, Aliyev notes that only 6.2 million wallets have actually migrated to the Mainnet. This stark difference raises questions about the platform’s user engagement and the authenticity of its claimed growth.
The report suggests that this discrepancy could be indicative of a number of issues, such as inactive or fake accounts inflating the user count or a slow adoption rate despite the platform’s large user base. Aliyev’s analysis casts doubt on the platform’s ability to deliver on its promises, especially when it comes to the migration of users to the Mainnet and the transition from a test environment to a fully functional blockchain.
This gap between the claimed user base and the actual number of wallets active on the Mainnet raises concerns about the sustainability and legitimacy of Pi Network, particularly as it inches closer to its long-awaited full launch. Despite these issues, the network’s team has continued to push forward with development, but critics like Aliyev argue that these discrepancies could hinder the platform’s long-term success and trustworthiness in the eyes of potential users and investors.
Toghrul Aliyev highlights serious concerns with Pi Network, particularly the large discrepancy between the claimed user base of over 60 million and only 6.2 million wallets migrated to the Mainnet. He suggests this could indicate inflated user numbers to maintain interest, raising doubts about the network’s scalability and credibility.
Additionally, Aliyev points out Pi’s inflation problem, with its token supply growing by over 106% in just one year. In comparison, Bitcoin’s inflation rate is only around 0.8%. This rapid inflation could dilute Pi’s value, making it difficult for the token to maintain its worth in the long term.
Without sufficient demand to match its growing supply, Pi holders risk seeing their coins lose value before the network opens fully. Such rapid inflation could undermine Pi’s value proposition as a sustainable cryptocurrency.
Aliyev also criticized Pi Network’s “mining mechanism”, which requires users to tap a button daily to “mine” Pi. Unlike traditional crypto mining, which secures the network and validates transactions, Pi’s model raises concerns. It appears to prioritize user engagement and data collection via ads, rather than ensuring decentralization and network security.
The mandatory KYC process adds to these worries, as Pi’s aggressive collection of personal information suggests the possibility of a data harvesting scheme, rather than a legitimate blockchain project.
Despite the anticipation surrounding the Mainnet launch, these red flags continue to cloud Pi Network’s future. Without addressing these fundamental issues, Pi’s scalability and credibility remain in question, which could hinder its long-term success.
Community Replies: Defending Pi or Hoping for a Miracle?
In response to Aliyev’s critical report, a user from r/PiNetwork (likely a moderator) defended the project. The user argued that despite only 6 million wallets on the Mainnet, Pi’s exclusivity could ultimately help ensure its future value, suggesting that this limited user base could be a positive factor for the network’s growth.
The reply also downplayed concerns about inflation, stating that Pi’s total supply would not reach the 100 billion mark anytime soon. This was presented as a reassurance, with the user emphasizing that Pi’s inflation rate was not a pressing issue for the project’s long-term prospects.
Further, the user highlighted the importance of community strength, suggesting that Pi Network’s growing user base and community engagement could eventually position the project to rival established cryptocurrencies like Binance Coin (BNB). They also dismissed the current IOU prices of Pi as irrelevant, implying that once the network launches fully, Pi’s true value will become apparent.
In response to the Pi Network defender, Toghrul Aliyev (using his Reddit handle u/doctorbirdbee) argued that hope alone does not create value. He emphasized that it is data—not community loyalty—that ultimately determines a cryptocurrency’s worth. Aliyev warned that Pi Network’s inflated market cap projections reminded him of the rise and fall of Luna, urging the community to remain cautious.
Although he dismissed some privacy concerns surrounding Pi as overhyped, Aliyev still raised important red flags about the KYC process, suggesting that it could become a significant privacy risk and further erode trust in the platform. As the news of the Testnet 2 launch has fueled growing optimism among the Pi community about a potential Mainnet launch, Aliyev’s report serves as a sobering reminder of the hurdles the project must still overcome.
Despite the community’s hope, Pi Network faces critical challenges, and without substantial progress in addressing these issues, it risks becoming little more than a footnote in cryptocurrency history.